Latest Commercial Real Estate Market News & Investment Advice in Los Angeles

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Retail Sales Continue At A 4.5% Yrly Growth But There Are Challenges

Commercial Overview:

RETAIL SALES CONTINUE AT A 4.5% YRLY GROWTH BUT THERE ARE CHALLENGES. Retail is changing with big box stores downsizing or filing for bankruptcy as their inefficient and outdated business struggle in a new world of convenience. New retail brands are emerging and successful at slower pace. Large malls in particular have struggled to bring clients to the mall and the focus is shifting in to providing experiences rather than items clients can buy cheaply online. The focus...

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The Recovery Continues

Commercial Overview:

RETAIL SALES HIT A RECORD of $5.7 trillion in 2017. That's better than pre-recession highs of $4.4 trillion in 2007, and 42% higher than 2009, which was $4.06 trillion. The increased sales are great for commercial real estate but retailing is undergoing significant changes. The 1st change is technological, with shoppers expecting retailers to offer a convenient online alternative as well as the physical store. Stores that don't adjust will go the way of Toys R Us,...

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The Death of the Shopping Mall

Commercial Overview:

THE DEATH OF THE SHOPPING MALL. As mentioned in the section above, business is good for all, except those businesses being replaced by e-Commerce. By 2022, analysts estimate 1 out of every 4 malls could be out of business. In 2017 alone, 8,600 stores are estimated to close and 9 national retail chains have already filed for bankruptcy. 2017 has already seen over 5,300 retail closings, including Sears, Macy's, JCPenney and Kmart. Payless announced it would close 400...

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E-Commerce is Challenging Commercial Leasing

Commercial Overview:

E-COMMERCE IS CHALLENGING COMMERCIAL LEASING, making companies like Sears & Macy's close stores. Payless Shoes will close 400 stores, Ralph Lauren will close its 5th Ave flagship & GameStop will close up to 225 stores, all because of online shopping. Having technology resistant tenants will be key for landlords going forward.

Economic Overview:

STRONG LABOR MARKET LEADING TO HIGHER INTEREST? The strengthening jobs market has been core to the Federal Reserve's debates on...

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Strong Jobs Creation Numbers but Weaker Spending? Cap Rates Jump, Reversing Long-Term Trend

Commercial Overview:

CAP RATES JUMP, REVERSING LONG-TERM TREND: Cap rates for single tenant CVS, Rite Aid and Walgreens properties all increased significantly in the 3rd quarter of 2016. Investors seem most concerned by US antitrust regulators' requirement that Walgreens sell between 500 and 1,000 stores before they will approve its plan to acquire Rite Aid. The potential merger of the 2 retail giants has also slowed transaction volume in drug store sector as investors wait to see how it...

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USA Consumers Gaining Confidence? High Optimism for Commercial Real Estate

Commercial Overview: 

HIGH OPTIMISM FOR COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE: 92% of Real Estate executives are predicting continued growth in commercial real estate. Here is what the experts had to say: • Strong fundamentals, including low interest rates and continuing improvement in the U.S. economy are two primary factors instilling investor confidence. • 56% of real estate executives cited global disruption and a volatile investment market as the most pressing issues impacting the real estate...

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Rate Hike Still Coming? And Commercial Market Review

Commercial Overview:

NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTOR'S (NAR) MARKET REVIEW: NAR reviews the performance of the Commercial Real Estate market. Here is the summary of what is happening in the 1st quarter of 2016.

• The pace of commercial transactions dropped in the 1st quarter of 2016, following an upbeat 2015.

• The volume of commercial sales in primary markets & cities totaled $111 billion, a 20% year-over-year decrease.

• Continuing the trends from 2015, apartment transactions...

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Retailers Selling More and More is Good for Real Estate. USA Economy Has Recovered?

Commercial Overview:

REAL ESTATE RECOVERING? Commercial property sales through December 2013, found that the recovery in U.S. commercial real estate markets advanced in 2013 as broad gains in net absorption, rents, sales activity and pricing extended across markets and property types during the year. The upbeat performance was driven by relatively steady economic growth and job gains of 2.3 million or 1.7% in 2013. During the year, expanding businesses accounted for the highest aggregate net...

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US Economy Grew Faster Than Expected Between April & June

Property boom redux

Economic Overview:

GOOD NEWS: US ECONOMY GREW FASTER THAN EXPECTED BETWEEN APRIL & JUNE. The economy grew 3.7% in the second quarter, a very big upward revision from the first official estimate, 2.3%, according to the Commerce Department's measure of GDP. The upward revision is welcome news as China's slowing economy is sparking volatility in stock markets, plunging currencies in emerging markets and potentially delaying a rate hike from the U.S. Federal Reserve. The good economic data...

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Interest Rates Have Gone Up, How Does That Affect Real Estate?

Commercial Overview:

FOREIGNERS KEEP INVESTING IN USA REAL ESTATE. While we may see some domestic changes in 2016 due to uncertainty regarding the cost of borrowing money, continued foreign investment in U.S. real estate seems almost assured, influenced heavily by economic and social instabilities abroad. The Association of Foreign Investors in Real Estate (AFIRE), whose membership represents an estimated $2 trillion (+) in global real estate holdings, shows in its 2016 annual survey that...

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